Central Pacific expected to see ‘below normal’ activity in upcoming hurricane season

HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - The National Weather Service is predicting “below normal” activity during the upcoming hurricane season in the Central Pacific.

But officials warn it only takes one storm to leave behind a trail of damage.

“The numbers don’t tell the whole story when it comes to potential for hurricane threat to Hawaii,” said Chris Brenchley, director of the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, at a news conference.

The hurricane season kicks off June 1 and continues through Nov. 30.

NWS forecasters said the Central Pacific Basin is expected to see one to four tropical cyclones during the 2024 hurricane season. There’s a 50% chance of a below normal season, a 30% chance of near normal activity, and a 20% chance for above normal activity.

The prediction for below normal activity is largely because La Niña conditions are expected to develop in the Pacific. The La Niña weather phenomenon is associated with cooler ocean temperatures and increased shear around the Hawaiian Islands, forecasters said.

HURRICANE OUTLOOK NEWS CONFERENCE:

Hawaii saw four tropical cyclones develop last year, on point with the forecast.

While no hurricanes made a direct hit, winds fueled by Hurricane Dora passing south of the island chain contributed to the inferno that destroyed Lahaina town, claiming 101 lives.

Forecasters say it’s a reminder of the power of cyclones — and the importance of preparedness.

This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.

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